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Nassim Nicholas Taleb : The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Title: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Published in: English
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 394
Date: 2008-02-28
ISBN: 0141034599
Publisher: Penguin
Weight: 0.75 pounds
Size: 5.0 x 7.7 x 1.2 inches
Edition: New Edition
Amazon prices:
$1.81used
$7.14new
$8.68Amazon
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Description: Product Description
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them., 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent 'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times 'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph 'Great fun ..., brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics
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